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Are Home Prices Dropping in Orlando? (2026)

Short answer: in two of the four counties, yes. Comparing September 2026 closed sales against September 2025, the median fell in Seminole County (-2.6%) and Volusia County (-1.0%), and rose in Orange County (+2.0%) and Lake County (+0.1%). Nothing in that range is a collapse. Sales volume fell 5.4% to 3,034 closings and the typical seller still got close to asking price, which is not what a falling market looks like.

Market data updated monthly · last updated September 2026.

+2.0%
Orange County median, year over year
-2.6%
Seminole County median, year over year
3,034
homes sold in September 2026
60.0%
of listings sitting 60+ days
TL;DR: Prices are not dropping across the Orlando area as a whole. Year over year to September 2026 the median fell in Seminole and Volusia, and rose in Orange and Lake. Sales volume fell 5.4% and sellers are still closing near asking price. Where buyers do have room is time on market: 60.0% of everything for sale has been listed 60 days or longer.

Year over year, by county

CountyMedian sale priceChange vs a year agoHomes soldPercent of asking price
Orange County$444,995+2.0%1,28097.2%
Seminole County$393,500-2.6%43697.7%
Lake County$370,000+0.1%69297.9%
Volusia County$340,000-1.0%62697.0%

Source: Stellar MLS closed sales, September 2026 compared against September 2025.

What a falling market would actually look like

A real decline leaves three marks: sales volume collapses, new listings surge as owners rush to get out, and sellers accept steep discounts. None of the three is present. Year over year, sales volume fell 5.4% to 3,034 closings, new listings rose 1.5% to 4,318, and the typical seller across the four counties closed between 97.0% and 97.9% of asking price.

Where the softness is

Listings are sitting. There are 13,697 active residential listings across the four counties and 8,215 of them, 60.0%, have been listed 60 days or longer. That is a pricing backlog rather than a price crash. It means a home priced to today's comparable sales still moves, while a home priced to what a neighbor got in 2022 sits until it is repriced.

Start your search

Prices move by county, so search the one you are actually shopping. These are live MLS results.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are home prices dropping in Orlando?

Not across the board. Year over year to September 2026, the median sale price fell in Seminole County and Volusia County, and rose in Orange County and Lake County. The largest move in either direction was 2.6%, and sales volume fell 5.4% over the same period.

Is the Orlando housing market going to crash?

The three signals of a crash are collapsing sales, a surge of new listings, and steep seller discounts. In September 2026 sales volume fell 5.4% to 3,034 closings year over year and sellers closed near asking price. Inventory is high because homes are sitting longer, not because owners are rushing to sell: new listings rose 1.5% over the same period.

Why does it feel like prices are falling?

Because 60.0% of active listings have been on the market 60 days or longer, so buyers see a lot of price reductions. A reduction from an over-ambitious asking price is not the same as a fall in what homes actually sell for.

Get the number for your street, not the metro

A metro median cannot price your home. Real comparables can.

See the Orlando Market Report Call 407-616-9019
Market data: Stellar MLS, Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, FL, September 2026. Informational only, not financial advice.
The Homes In Orlando Team | Brenden Rendo, REALTOR® · NextHome Neighborhood Realty · 407-616-9019