Area Real Estate News & Market Trends

You’ll find our blog to be a wealth of information, covering everything from local market statistics and home values to community happenings. That’s because we care about the community and want to help you find your place in it. Please reach out if you have any questions at all. We’d love to talk with you!

Sept. 26, 2026

Living in Mount Dora, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

Mount Dora is the town people mean when they say old Florida: a hilly downtown on Lake Dora with a lighthouse, a hundred-year-old inn, antique shops and a festival calendar that runs most of the year. It is also, by the numbers, a new-construction town. Of the homes that sold here in the last twelve months, 192 were built in 2024 or later, and almost none of those are within walking distance of the thing that brought the buyer to Mount Dora in the first place. Which of the two you are buying is the whole question.

$455,000
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 88 closed sales
16,812
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, up 21.0% since 2019
292
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
28.8 min
Mean Commute
Against 26.8 minutes from Eustis

Who Mount Dora Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: buyers who want the old Florida downtown and are willing to pay for it in age rather than price, because the pre-1980 homes near the lake closed at a median of $325,000, about a quarter below the town as a whole, and went under contract about a week faster than the town, in roughly six weeks; anyone who wants a walkable small town with a full festival calendar and a real lakefront, which is genuinely rare in the four counties; buyers over 55 who want that town on their doorstep, since Lakes of Mount Dora and the other age-restricted communities closed 85 homes last year; and buyers who want a new house with a Mount Dora address and understand they are buying the address, not the downtown.

Weaker fit: anyone who assumes a Mount Dora listing is near the downtown, because two thirds of what sells is not, and the new subdivisions along State Road 46 and the Wekiva Parkway are a car trip from it; daily commuters to Orlando, since the mean commute is the longest of the three towns compared here and the parkway has not changed that yet; buyers who want a charming old house without the old-house bills, because a 1962 median build year means roofs, wiring and plumbing that have to be priced in; and anyone who needs to know which county they are in before they decide, because the Orange County side sold at $519,995 against $417,500 in Lake, and the two sides price, tax and school differently.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $425,000 budget and put Mount Dora side by side with its neighbors: what $425,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Mount Dora sits across two counties and they price differently, so there are two of these. The Orange County side runs closer to $525,000: what $525,000 buys on that side.

Where Is Mount Dora, and What Makes It Different?

Mount Dora sits on the north shore of Lake Dora in northeast Lake County, about 30 miles northwest of downtown Orlando, with State Road 46 and the Wekiva Parkway carrying it east toward Sanford and the Orange County line running through its eastern subdivisions. The downtown is on a hill above the lake, which is unusual enough in Florida that it is part of the brand. The mean commute is 28.8 minutes, the longest of the three towns compared on this page, and nearly all of the town's growth since 2019 has been in the new subdivisions rather than the core.

Mount Dora Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 731 homes sold in Mount Dora at a median of $435,000, unchanged against the twelve months before. Per square foot, which strips out any change in the size of what sold, the figure fell 1.4%. In August 2026, 88 homes closed at a median of $455,000 and the typical one went under contract in 41 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. There are 292 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $468,950, or $227 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around Mount Dora? We publish that answer for Lake County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Lake County a buyer's or seller's market?

New Construction and Resale Are Not the Same Market

Every price figure quoted for Mount Dora mixes brand new homes with existing ones. Split apart, the last twelve months looked like this.

What soldMedian, prior 12 monthsMedian, last 12 monthsChangeSales
New construction$471,196$476,559+1.1%184
Existing homes (resale)$410,000$405,000-1.2%547
All sales combined$435,000$435,0000.0%731

Those two rows move in opposite directions. The combined figure is the one every portal quotes for Mount Dora, and it describes neither half of this market.

Best Neighborhoods in Mount Dora, FL: Communities to Know

Mount Dora is a historic core with a ring of new subdivisions around it, and the ring now sells more homes than the core. The four segments below are four different purchases.

  • The historic downtown and the lakefront streets, the pre-1980 core between Donnelly Street and Lake Dora, plus the older neighborhoods around it: 168 closings over the last twelve months at a median of $325,000, a median build year of 1962, and sales about a week quicker than the town as a whole at roughly six weeks; the lakefront homes on Lake Dora and the Harris chain are their own tier, 53 closings at $662,500
  • The established subdivisions, the 1980s to early 2020s neighborhoods such as Mount Dora Country Club, Sullivan Ranch and the earlier phases of Stoneybrook Hills: 360 closings at a median of $435,000, the middle of the market
  • The new-construction ring, Trailside, Timberwalk, Oakfield, Seasons at Wekiva Ridge and Summerbrooke, mostly along State Road 46 and the Wekiva Parkway side: 192 homes built in 2024 or later closed at a median of $478,325 and took about two and a half months, and the Orange County portion of the ring is where the $500,000-plus closings concentrate
  • The 55-plus communities, Lakes of Mount Dora above all, 58 closings at $484,950 in the last twelve months; across every age-restricted community here, 85 homes closed at $435,000 in about 67 days

If the downtown is the reason, shop the first segment and accept the age. If a new house is the reason, shop the third and accept the drive. The listings that promise both are usually promising the address.

The 15 communities in Mount Dora where the most homes have sold over the last twelve months, each with its own page:

Another 89 Mount Dora communities have their own page too. You can also browse every Mount Dora listing in one place.

Mount Dora vs. Eustis vs. Tavares: The Honest Comparison

 Mount DoraEustisTavares
Median asking price$468,950$370,000$329,999
Median $/sq ft$227$193$189
Mean commute28.8 minutes26.8 minutes26.0 minutes
Median household income$69,931$62,475$57,644
Population16,81223,56719,738

Eustis is the closest thing to Mount Dora without the price: the same chain of lakes, its own small downtown, and a lower asking median. Tavares is the county seat next door, the cheapest of the three to buy into, and the most water-oriented with the seaplane base and the Lake Dora waterfront. Mount Dora is the most expensive of the three and the only one the visitors come for, and that is exactly what the premium pays for.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Lake County Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 28.8 minutes, against 26.8 from Eustis.

How Much of Mount Dora Is New Construction?

Mount Dora has no municipal police agency reporting usable figures to the FBI, so there is no honest city-level crime comparison to publish here, and a number that cannot be sourced is worse than none. What can be measured is the age and type of what is for sale, which is the other question relocation buyers ask.

Across 292 active residential listings, the median asking price is $468,950, or $227 per square foot. Where a town is still building, the per square foot figure runs closer to replacement cost; where it is built out, it reflects land and location instead.

Cost of Living in Mount Dora, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. Mount Dora's median asking price is $468,950 against a median household income of $69,931, which puts a home at about 6.71 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mount Dora, FL a good place to live?

It depends on whether your income comes with you. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $468,950 is higher than most and the mean commute of 28.8 minutes is near the middle. The median household income here is $69,931, which puts housing at 6.71 times income, a heavier load than in most of those places. For remote workers and retirees who bring their income with them, that matters less. For someone earning a local wage, it is one of the harder places in the group to buy. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in Mount Dora, FL?

The median sale price was $455,000 in August 2026 across 88 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 731 homes sold at a median of $435,000, unchanged against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 292 active listings is $468,950, or $227 per square foot.

Is Mount Dora cheaper than Eustis?

On the asking median, no: $468,950 against $370,000. Measured against household income, Mount Dora is at 6.71 times income and Eustis at 5.92, so on that basis Eustis is the more affordable of the two. See what $425,000 buys in each town.

What is the cost of living in Mount Dora, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $468,950 against a median household income of $69,931 puts a home at roughly 6.71 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves Mount Dora, FL?

Lake County Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to Mount Dora?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $425,000 buys across Mount Dora and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in Mount Dora, which updates with current inventory.

Sept. 25, 2026

Living in Port Orange, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

Port Orange is the town people end up in after they price the beach. It sits on the mainland between Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach with a bridge to each, its reported violent crime rate is the lowest against the state figure of any town in this series, its houses go under contract in about six weeks, and its prices have barely moved in a year. Nothing about it is exciting, which is the point, and the only real decision inside the city limits is which of its three zip codes you can afford.

$350,000
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 53 closed sales
63,818
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, up 1.7% since 2019
205
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
25.3 min
Mean Commute
Against 28.3 minutes from New Smyrna Beach

Who Port Orange Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: families and commuters who want an established, quiet suburb with the beach a bridge away rather than under the house, because that trade is where the savings are: the asking median here is $196,000 under New Smyrna Beach; anyone who values a low crime figure over a walkable downtown, since Port Orange has the former and not the latter; buyers who do not want a homeowners association, because 266 of the homes that sold in the last twelve months had none, and those closed faster, in 44 days, than the ones that did; sellers and buyers who want a market that clears quickly at a stable price, which describes Port Orange better than any beach town on this coast.

Weaker fit: anyone who wants a beachside address, because Port Orange has none inside the city limits and its beach is Daytona Beach Shores across the Dunlawton bridge; buyers set on new construction, since the town is built out, the median home here was built in 1990, and Campbell Crossing is the one community actively closing new homes; anyone who wants a historic downtown of the Canal Street or Beach Street kind, which Port Orange does not have; buyers expecting appreciation to do the work, because the twelve-month median is down 1.4% and the town grew 1.7% since 2019, against 18% in New Smyrna Beach; and house buyers under $300,000, who should start on the west side in 32129 and be ready to look at Edgewater or Deltona if it is not there.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $375,000 budget and put Port Orange side by side with its neighbors: what $375,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Where Is Port Orange, and What Makes It Different?

Port Orange sits on the mainland side of the Halifax River, directly south of Daytona Beach and north of New Smyrna Beach, with the Dunlawton Avenue bridge carrying it across to Daytona Beach Shores and Ponce Inlet. I-95 runs along its western edge and the I-4 interchange is a short drive north, which is why the mean commute is 25.3 minutes, shorter than New Smyrna Beach and longer than Ormond Beach. The town grew 1.7 percent since 2019, against 18 percent in New Smyrna Beach next door, and that is not a warning sign so much as a description: it is built out, and what is for sale is almost entirely resale.

Port Orange Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 628 homes sold in Port Orange at a median of $350,000, down 1.4% against the twelve months before. Per square foot, which strips out any change in the size of what sold, the figure fell 2.4%. In August 2026, 53 homes closed at a median of $350,000 and the typical one went under contract in 33 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. There are 205 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $339,000, or $215 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around Port Orange? We publish that answer for Volusia County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Volusia County a buyer's or seller's market?

New Construction and Resale Are Not the Same Market

Every price figure quoted for Port Orange mixes brand new homes with existing ones. Split apart, the last twelve months looked like this.

What soldMedian, prior 12 monthsMedian, last 12 monthsChangeSales
New construction$413,990$364,995-11.8%40
Existing homes (resale)$350,000$349,400-0.2%588
All sales combined$355,000$350,000-1.4%628

Both halves moved the same way here, so the combined figure is a fair summary of Port Orange, which is not true everywhere.

Best Neighborhoods in Port Orange, FL: Communities to Know

Port Orange is three zip codes with three price points, and the year the house was built tracks the zip almost exactly.

  • 32129, the west side, the older, cheaper third of town: 187 closings over the last twelve months at a median of $290,000, a median build year of 1987, and sales as quick as anywhere in the city, about six weeks; this is where a house under $300,000 is still findable
  • 32127, central and riverside, the Dunlawton corridor and the streets running to the Halifax River: 245 closings at $340,000 and a 1984 median build year, with the waterfront homes along the river closing at a median of $425,000 and taking closer to three months
  • 32128, the south and Spruce Creek side, the newest and most expensive third: 199 closings at $426,000 with a median build year of 2001, where Woodhaven's twelve sales closed at $526,000 and most of the larger-lot subdivisions sit
  • Campbell Crossing, the one place in town actively closing new construction, 24 sales at $364,990, which is the same money as a 1990s resale in 32128

Pick the zip by budget and the house by age. There is no beachside to agonise over.

The 15 communities in Port Orange where the most homes have sold over the last twelve months, each with its own page:

Another 109 Port Orange communities have their own page too. You can also browse every Port Orange listing in one place.

Port Orange vs. New Smyrna Beach vs. Ormond Beach: The Honest Comparison

 Port OrangeNew Smyrna BeachOrmond Beach
Median asking price$339,000$535,000$399,000
Median $/sq ft$215$351$232
Mean commute25.3 minutes28.3 minutes22.4 minutes
Median household income$68,955$78,373$67,482
Population63,81831,21243,514

New Smyrna Beach is what Port Orange buyers are choosing not to pay for: a beachside, a real downtown and a longer drive to work. Ormond Beach is the like-for-like family suburb on the far side of Daytona with its own beachside and a shorter commute, and the table shows where it prices. Port Orange is the one of the three where the money goes furthest and the least happens.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Volusia County Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 25.3 minutes, against 28.3 from New Smyrna Beach.

Is Port Orange, FL Safe?

Port Orange's reported violent crime rate is 45.3 per 100,000 residents against 323.5 for Florida as a whole, about 86% below the state figure. That is a real difference. The same caveat applies in reverse though: rates are measured against resident population, so a town that few people commute into will tend to look better than a comparable one that they do.

Figures are reported offenses from the FBI Crime Data Explorer for the Port Orange Police Department (ORI FL0641200), 2022, the most recent year that agency reported in a usable form. Reporting years differ between agencies, so this is compared to the Florida rate for the same year and is not comparable to another town's page.

Cost of Living in Port Orange, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. Port Orange's median asking price is $339,000 against a median household income of $68,955, which puts a home at about 4.92 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Port Orange, FL a good place to live?

Start with the numbers. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $339,000 is lower than most and the mean commute of 25.3 minutes is shorter than most. The median household income here is $68,955, which puts housing at 4.92 times income, a lighter load than in most of those places. On local incomes, that makes buying here easier than in most of the group. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in Port Orange, FL?

The median sale price was $350,000 in August 2026 across 53 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 628 homes sold at a median of $350,000, down 1.4% against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 205 active listings is $339,000, or $215 per square foot.

Is Port Orange cheaper than New Smyrna Beach?

On the asking median, yes: $339,000 against $535,000. Measured against household income, Port Orange is at 4.92 times income and New Smyrna Beach at 6.83, so on that basis Port Orange is the more affordable of the two. See what $375,000 buys in each town.

Is Port Orange, FL safe?

The reported violent crime rate runs about 86% below the Florida average, though city rates are measured against resident population while the offense count includes everyone passing through.

What is the cost of living in Port Orange, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $339,000 against a median household income of $68,955 puts a home at roughly 4.92 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves Port Orange, FL?

Volusia County Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to Port Orange?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $375,000 buys across Port Orange and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in Port Orange, which updates with current inventory.

Sept. 24, 2026

Living in New Smyrna Beach, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

New Smyrna Beach is the answer for people who want to live near the ocean without living inside the Daytona Beach calendar of bike weeks, race weeks and spring break, and the price of that answer depends almost entirely on which side of the Intracoastal you buy. Beachside sold at $437 per square foot over the last twelve months. The mainland sold at $220. Nothing else on this page matters as much as that line on the map, so it is where the page starts.

$452,620
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 123 closed sales
31,212
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, up 18.0% since 2019
527
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
28.3 min
Mean Commute
Against 25.3 minutes from Port Orange

Who New Smyrna Beach Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: buyers who want the beach within a bike ride and a quieter one than Daytona, with a walkable Flagler Avenue and Canal Street instead of a boardwalk; second-home and condo buyers, since beachside condos are a quarter of everything that sells here; anyone who wants a new house near the coast at a mainland price, because Venetian Bay, Ardisia Park, Oak Leaf Preserve and Coastal Woods are where the new construction is, all west of the river; remote workers and retirees who are not commuting, because the drive to Orlando is a real one.

Weaker fit: anyone who assumes the median tells them what a beachside house costs, because beachside single-family homes closed at $727,500, far above the town's median; buyers who want the Daytona-style boardwalk, nightlife and events, which is the exact thing this town is not; daily commuters to Orlando or Sanford, since the mean commute is already the longest of the three towns compared here and the beachside adds a bridge to it; anyone who needs a fast resale on the beachside, where houses and condos both took over 80 days to go under contract against 67 on the mainland.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $500,000 budget and put New Smyrna Beach side by side with its neighbors: what $500,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Where Is New Smyrna Beach, and What Makes It Different?

New Smyrna Beach sits on the Volusia coast south of Daytona and Port Orange, split by the Intracoastal Waterway into a barrier-island beachside and a mainland that runs west past I-95. The two are joined by the North and South Causeways, and the barrier island runs south to Bethune Beach and the boundary of Canaveral National Seashore, which is why the beach here does not carry Daytona's traffic or its event weeks. The mean commute is 28.3 minutes, the longest of the three towns compared on this page, and Orlando is about an hour west by road. Nearly all of the town's growth since 2019 landed on the mainland west of the river.

New Smyrna Beach Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 1,217 homes sold in New Smyrna Beach at a median of $465,000, unchanged against the twelve months before. Per square foot, which strips out any change in the size of what sold, the figure fell 2.5%. In August 2026, 123 homes closed at a median of $452,620 and the typical one went under contract in 63 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. There are 527 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $535,000, or $351 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around New Smyrna Beach? We publish that answer for Volusia County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Volusia County a buyer's or seller's market?

New Construction and Resale Are Not the Same Market

Every price figure quoted for New Smyrna Beach mixes brand new homes with existing ones. Split apart, the last twelve months looked like this.

What soldMedian, prior 12 monthsMedian, last 12 monthsChangeSales
New construction$419,990$502,899+19.7%142
Existing homes (resale)$475,000$450,000-5.3%1075
All sales combined$465,000$465,0000.0%1217

Read the new-construction row carefully. It is mostly reporting a change in what was built rather than a change in what it costs. The median new-construction home sold in New Smyrna Beach went from 1,828 square feet to 2,394, 31.0% larger, while the price per square foot moved -2.3%. Builders here changed the product, so the price per square foot is the honest comparison and the median is not.

The resale row is the one to trust here, and it is 88% of everything that sold in New Smyrna Beach. Existing homes moved -5.3%, which is what a typical owner in New Smyrna Beach should read as their market.

Best Neighborhoods in New Smyrna Beach, FL: Communities to Know

New Smyrna Beach divides at the Intracoastal first and by product second. The five segments below closed at five different prices over the last twelve months, and a search that mixes them produces a number that describes none of them.

  • Beachside houses, 32169, the single-family homes east of the river from the North Causeway down through Bethune Beach; 178 closed over the last twelve months at a median of $727,500, and the typical one took about three months to go under contract
  • Beachside condos, their own market and a big one: 327 closings at a median of $450,000, most of them oceanfront or a block off it between the causeway and the Minorca and Ocean Walk towers at the north end; these are the second-home and rental buyers, and the pace is similar to the houses at 90 days
  • Bethune Beach, the far south end of the barrier island toward Canaveral National Seashore, low density and no-drive beach; 22 closings at a median of $987,500, the top of the market
  • Mainland resale, 32168, the established neighborhoods west of the river around Canal Street, Sugar Mill Country Club and Turnbull Bay; the bulk of the market at 576 single-family closings, a median of $440,000 and 73 days
  • Mainland new construction, west of I-95, Venetian Bay, Ardisia Park, Oak Leaf Preserve and Coastal Woods, where nearly all of the 139 homes built in 2024 or later sold; Ardisia Park alone closed 57 at a median of $579,789 and Oak Leaf Preserve 24 at $379,792

Decide the side of the river before you decide anything else. The same $500,000 buys a new house in Venetian Bay or a condo on the ocean, and there is no version of this town where it buys both.

The 15 communities in New Smyrna Beach where the most homes have sold over the last twelve months, each with its own page:

Another 230 New Smyrna Beach communities have their own page too. You can also browse every New Smyrna Beach listing in one place.

New Smyrna Beach vs. Port Orange vs. Edgewater: The Honest Comparison

 New Smyrna BeachPort OrangeEdgewater
Median asking price$535,000$339,000$325,000
Median $/sq ft$351$215$202
Mean commute28.3 minutes25.3 minutes25.8 minutes
Median household income$78,373$68,955$58,805
Population31,21263,81823,314

Port Orange is the closer comparison and the honest alternative for a family that needs the shorter commute: it is bigger, cheaper per square foot, and its beach is the Daytona side of Ponce Inlet. Edgewater is the mainland-only budget answer next door, with no beachside at all and the lowest asking median of the three. New Smyrna Beach is the most expensive of the three by a wide margin and the only one where the premium is the beach itself rather than the house.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Volusia County Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 28.3 minutes, against 25.3 from Port Orange.

Is New Smyrna Beach, FL Safe?

New Smyrna Beach's reported violent crime rate is 166.5 per 100,000 residents against 323.5 for Florida as a whole, about 49% below the state figure. That is a real difference and it is one of the things buyers here are paying for. The same caveat applies in reverse though: rates are measured against resident population, so a town that few people commute into will tend to look better than a comparable one that they do.

Figures are reported offenses from the FBI Crime Data Explorer for the New Smyrna Beach Police Department (ORI FL0640300), 2022, the most recent year that agency reported in a usable form. Reporting years differ between agencies, so this is compared to the Florida rate for the same year and is not comparable to another town's page.

Cost of Living in New Smyrna Beach, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. New Smyrna Beach's median asking price is $535,000 against a median household income of $78,373, which puts a home at about 6.83 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is New Smyrna Beach, FL a good place to live?

It depends on whether your income comes with you. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $535,000 is higher than most and the mean commute of 28.3 minutes is near the middle. The median household income here is $78,373, which puts housing at 6.83 times income, a heavier load than in most of those places. For remote workers and retirees who bring their income with them, that matters less. For someone earning a local wage, it is one of the harder places in the group to buy. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in New Smyrna Beach, FL?

The median sale price was $452,620 in August 2026 across 123 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 1,217 homes sold at a median of $465,000, unchanged against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 527 active listings is $535,000, or $351 per square foot.

Is New Smyrna Beach cheaper than Port Orange?

On the asking median, no: $535,000 against $339,000. Measured against household income, New Smyrna Beach is at 6.83 times income and Port Orange at 4.92, so on that basis Port Orange is the more affordable of the two. See what $500,000 buys in each town.

Is New Smyrna Beach, FL safe?

The reported violent crime rate runs about 49% below the Florida average, though city rates are measured against resident population while the offense count includes everyone passing through.

What is the cost of living in New Smyrna Beach, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $535,000 against a median household income of $78,373 puts a home at roughly 6.83 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves New Smyrna Beach, FL?

Volusia County Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to New Smyrna Beach?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $500,000 buys across New Smyrna Beach and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in New Smyrna Beach, which updates with current inventory.

Sept. 23, 2026

Is It a Buyer's Market Yet? What 1,552 Central Florida Price Cuts Actually Bought Buyers

By Brenden Rendo, Realtor · Updated September 27, 2026

Every week someone asks me a version of the same question: is it finally a buyer's market? It is a fair question, because the headline numbers look like one. Sellers across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties cut asking prices on 1,552 homes in the seven days ending September 21, 2026. More than half of everything currently listed is already priced below where it started. That is not a subtle shift. But the label is the wrong thing to chase, because the honest answer is that Central Florida is running two markets at once, and which one you are standing in decides whether you have leverage or none at all.

1,552
Price Cuts in Seven Days
Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties. Stellar MLS snapshot generated September 21, 2026.
60.1%
Active Listings Past 60 Days
8,195 of 13,628 active listings across the four counties on September 27, counting cumulative time on market. This is the tier where negotiating room lives.
54.3%
Already Below Original Price
7,332 of 13,510 listings. Median cut runs 2.37% in Orange to 2.63% in Lake.
6.95%
30-Year Fixed, Week of Sept 17
Freddie Mac PMMS, up from 6.76% the week of September 10. One week, 19 basis points.
TLDR:
  • 1,552 price cuts hit Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia in the week ending September 21, 2026, and 54.3% of all 13,510 active listings are already below their original asking price.
  • The median cut is small: 2.37% to 2.63% depending on the county. That is a correction, not a collapse.
  • Central Florida is running two markets at once. Correctly priced, updated homes in good school zones still go under contract in days with no negotiating room. Overpriced homes sit past 60 days, and that is where every dollar of buyer leverage is.
  • Buyers on Reddit describe exactly this split, including one Orange County buyer who got $29,000 of total value off a $465,000 list price by combining a price reduction with seller-paid closing costs.
  • Rates are quietly eating the discount. The move from 6.76% to 6.95% in one week costs about $8,200 of purchasing power at Orange County's median asking price, roughly 80% of the typical price cut.

Why "buyer's market" is the wrong question

The phrase has a technical definition. Count the homes for sale, divide by the pace of sales, and if the result is more than about six months of supply, the convention calls it a buyer's market. You can track the national version of that series through the National Association of Realtors existing-home sales statistics.

Here is the problem with using it as a decision tool. A months-of-supply number is an average across tens of thousands of homes, and there is no such thing as an average home. It tells you nothing about the specific 3-bedroom in Oviedo you want, or the specific listing in Lake Mary that has been sitting since June. A single metro-wide label flattens a market that is behaving in two completely different ways depending on the listing.

So I am going to answer a more useful question instead: where in Central Florida does a buyer actually have negotiating power right now, and what does it take to get it?

The four-county numbers as of September 21

These come from a Stellar MLS pull generated September 21, 2026, covering Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties only. Days on market and the 60+ share were re-measured on September 27, counting cumulative time on market, so a relisted home keeps its earlier days.

County Active listings Median asking price Median days on market (Sept 27) Price cuts, 7 days Median cut 60+ days on market (Sept 27) Below original price
Orange5,710$429,000816532.37%59.7%52.5%
Seminole1,670$390,000712282.56%55.3%56.6%
Lake3,112$389,900843392.63%61.4%53.6%
Volusia3,018$369,000883322.54%62.3%56.9%
Four-county total13,510See noteSee note1,5522.37% to 2.63%60.1%54.3%

Note: medians do not add across counties, so the total row reports counts and shares only. Shares in the total row are computed from the underlying counts: 8,195 of 13,628 listings past 60 days on September 27, and 7,332 of 13,510 below original price on September 21.

Two things jump out. First, this is broad. It is not one county dragging the average around. Every one of the four counties shows roughly 55% to 62% of inventory sitting past 60 days and 52% to 57% already discounted. Seminole has the shortest median days on market at 71 and still has 56.6% of its listings below original price, which tells you that sellers there listed high and corrected rather than that the county is slow.

Second, the cuts are small. A median reduction of 2.37% to 2.63% on a $400,000 home is roughly $9,500 to $10,500. That is a seller adjusting, not a seller capitulating. Anyone selling you a story about a Florida crash is not looking at these numbers. If you want the longer view on how deep the stale end of the market runs, I broke out the 90-day cohort by county and price band in the stale-listings analysis.

What Central Florida buyers and sellers are actually saying

I pulled 83 posts and threads from the last 30 days across Reddit, X, YouTube, TikTok, Instagram and Hacker News to see what the conversation looks like outside of MLS data. The first finding is about the conversation itself: the volume is overwhelmingly agents talking about price cuts rather than buyers and sellers talking to each other. The most useful consumer discussion was on Reddit, where people describe the market in far more specific terms than any headline does.

A buyer in the r/orlando house-hunting thread put the split better than most market reports:

"If the place is priced right, it will go super fast. I bought a few months ago, 4 days on the market and we competed against 2 other full ask offers. But also there is lots of delusional sellers that are way overpriced and that inventory sits and rots. If it's priced well, you won't have much negotiating power. If it has been sitting, you might be able to go under ask and get concessions"
u/BVB09_FL, r/orlando, August 15, 2026

Another buyer in the same thread described the inventory that is left behind after the good listings clear:

"I've been watching closely. Anything of fair value goes quickly (probably to flippers) and most remaining homes are being listed at 'I'm not really trying to sell but if you're willing to pay this much I will' prices."
u/soscribbly, r/orlando, August 15, 2026

A homeowner in the Oviedo area, in Seminole County, gave a concrete example of what happens to a listing that starts too high:

"a house near me was listed at 720, within 3 weeks it fell to 615 and ended up selling for 590, which I as still a bit high for that house, imo"
u/UCFCO2001, r/orlando, August 15, 2026

That is an 18% gap between the list price and the sale price, and it happened in a neighborhood the same commenter described as high demand with sought-after schools. Both things are true at once. That is the whole story of this market.

On the seller side, the sentiment in a September thread on r/RealEstateAdvice from a Florida homeowner four months into a listing with almost no showings drew a blunt and repeated diagnosis from commenters:

"It's always the price."
u/Cali_kink_and_rope, r/RealEstateAdvice, September 14, 2026

The dominant thread running through all of it: almost nobody thinks prices are broadly falling, and almost everybody thinks overpriced homes are being ignored. That is a market correcting list prices, not values.

The two-tier market, and how to tell which tier you are in

Every number above points the same direction. There is a fast tier and a stuck tier, and they barely interact.

The fast tier is a correctly priced, updated home in a school zone people want. It goes under contract in days, sometimes with competing offers, and a buyer who writes it under asking will lose it. Nothing in the 1,552 weekly price cuts helps you here. As one buyer who attended 85 open houses across the city put it, "Anything priced well in a good school area went pending within a week or two" (u/EuphoricElderberry73, r/orlando, August 16, 2026).

The stuck tier is the 8,195 listings past 60 days. These are homes that launched at a 2022 number, watched the summer go by, and have now taken one or two small cuts that still are not enough. Sellers here are carrying a mortgage, insurance, taxes and often a second housing payment. Every month that passes moves them closer to a deal.

★ Pro Move: Do not shop by price cut. Shop by cumulative days on market and by the gap between the original list price and the current one. A home that dropped 2% after 90 days has a seller who is still negotiating with themselves. A home that dropped 6% after 120 days has a seller who has accepted reality, and that is the one worth your offer.

Here is what the stuck tier paid out for one Orange County buyer this year, in their own words:

"We bought in May. In Orlando, right by the ocoee line. House was listed for $465k. We negotiated it down to $455k and had the seller cover the entirety of our closing and realtor costs. Came out to about $19k in concessions."
u/Plenty_Pie_7427, r/orlando, August 15, 2026

Add it up: $10,000 off the price plus roughly $19,000 in seller-paid costs is about $29,000 of total value, or 6.24% of the original $465,000 list price. That is more than double the median price cut, and most of it came from concessions rather than from the price itself.

Rates just ate most of your discount

This is the part the price-cut headlines leave out. According to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the average 30-year fixed rate went from 6.76% the week of September 10 to 6.95% the week of September 17. Nineteen basis points in seven days.

Run that against Orange County's $429,000 median asking price with 20% down, which is a $343,200 loan. Principal and interest goes from about $2,228 a month at 6.76% to about $2,272 at 6.95%. That is roughly $44 more per month for the same house.

Now work backward. To get that $44 a month back at 6.95%, you would need the price to fall about $8,200. The median price cut in Orange County is 2.37%, or about $10,167 on that same home. So one week of rate movement erased roughly 80% of the typical seller price reduction.

Quick Tip: Compare homes on monthly payment, not on how big the price cut looks. A $15,000 reduction and a seller-paid rate buydown are not the same thing, and the buydown usually wins on the number that actually leaves your bank account. These are estimates of principal and interest only, and they exclude taxes, insurance and any HOA dues, which in Central Florida are a large share of the payment.

None of this is a prediction about where rates go next. I covered how the 30-year has been tracking the bond market in the Treasury yield analysis, and the honest conclusion there is the same as here: nobody can tell you what next week does. What you can do is price the home in front of you at the rate available today.

What to do with this: buyers, sellers, investors

If you are buying. Your leverage is not distributed evenly, so stop looking for it evenly. Build your search around the 60.1% of inventory sitting past 60 days and ignore the price-cut alerts on fresh listings. Ask for concessions before you ask for a price reduction, because at 6.95% a seller credit toward a rate buydown moves your payment further than the same dollars off the price. And if you find something in the fast tier, understand that you are competing, and write accordingly. Start with the county price-reduction pages: Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia.

If you are selling. Look at your own listing honestly. If you are past 60 days you are in the tier buyers are hunting in, and every small cut you take that does not clear the market costs you another month of carrying costs while signaling that more cuts are coming. Sellers who priced correctly at launch are still going under contract in days in all four counties. The median days on market is 71 in Seminole and 81 in Orange, counting cumulative time on market. That is a slow market, not a frozen one. Start with what your home is actually worth today, not what it was worth in 2022: run the numbers with the home value estimator, then let me put real comparable sales behind it.

If you are investing. The 8,195 listings past 60 days are your pipeline, but the small median cut tells you most sellers are not distressed yet, so expect to work through many properties to find one that pencils. Watch the gap between original and current list price as your motivation signal, and watch carrying costs, because Central Florida insurance and taxes decide the deal more often than purchase price does. Condo and townhouse inventory behaves differently from single-family and needs its own analysis.

The broader picture across all four counties, updated regularly, lives on the Central Florida housing market hub.

Frequently asked questions

Is Central Florida a buyer's market right now?

Partly. As of September 27, 2026, 60.1% of the 13,628 active listings across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties had been on the market more than 60 days, counting cumulative time on market, and in the September 21 pull 54.3% were priced below their original asking price. That is genuine buyer leverage, but it is concentrated in the stale portion of inventory. Correctly priced, updated homes in desirable school zones still go under contract within days, frequently with competing offers, and buyers have little to no negotiating room on those.

How much are Central Florida sellers actually cutting prices?

Less than the headlines suggest. The median price reduction runs from 2.37% in Orange County to 2.63% in Lake County, which is roughly $9,500 to $10,500 on a $400,000 home. Sellers cut asking prices on 1,552 homes across the four counties in the seven days ending September 21, 2026. That is a widespread correction of list prices, not a collapse in home values.

Should I ask for a price reduction or for seller concessions?

At current rates, concessions usually move your monthly payment further than the same dollars taken off the price, because a seller credit can fund a rate buydown or cover closing costs directly. One Orange County buyer reported combining a $10,000 price reduction with about $19,000 in seller-paid closing costs on a $465,000 listing, roughly 6.24% of the original list price in total value. Which approach works depends on the seller's situation, so it is worth running both versions before you write the offer.

Do rising mortgage rates cancel out the price cuts?

They cancel out a large part of them. Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey put the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.95% the week of September 17, 2026, up from 6.76% the week before. On a $343,200 loan, which is Orange County's $429,000 median asking price with 20% down, that raises principal and interest by about $44 a month. Recovering that $44 through price alone would take roughly an $8,200 reduction, or about 80% of the county's median price cut. These figures cover principal and interest only and exclude taxes, insurance and HOA dues.

If you want to know which tier a specific home is in before you write an offer, that is a 10-minute conversation and I am happy to have it. I can pull the full listing history, the original list price, every reduction and the days on market for any address in Orange, Seminole, Lake or Volusia County. Call or text me, Brenden Rendo, at 407-616-9019, or see what past clients have said on the reviews page. The Homes In Orlando Team, 890 Northern Way, Suite D-1, Winter Springs, FL 32708.

Sept. 23, 2026

Living in The Villages, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

The Villages is the one place on this list where a buyer can honestly be told there is no homeowners association, and it is also the place where that sentence needs the most explaining. There is no HOA board, but there is a bond on the tax bill, an annual maintenance assessment, a monthly amenity fee and a set of deed restrictions with a department that enforces them. Whether that trade is a good one is the real question, and this page is about the Lake County end of the community, which is the oldest part and the newest part at the same time.

This page covers the Lake County part of The Villages only. About nine in ten Villages homes are in Sumter and Marion counties, outside the four counties this site works, so the listings, sales and prices here describe the Lake County end of the community and not the whole of it.

$245,000
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 19 closed sales
82,108
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, up 3.4% since 2019
61
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
20.9 min
Mean Commute
Against 24.8 minutes from Leesburg

Who The Villages Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: buyers over 55 who do not want a homeowners association, because there is none here, the shared costs run through the community development district and the amenity fee instead, and nobody is voting on your dues at an annual meeting; buyers who want the golf, the pools and the recreation centers priced into the community rather than paid for at a club; anyone who wants either end of the price range, since the Lake County side has 1980s Orange Blossom Gardens homes that closed under $200,000 and 2023 Villages of West Lake homes that closed over $1 million; cash buyers coming from a house sale elsewhere, which describes most of the buyer pool.

Weaker fit: anyone who hears no HOA and expects no rules or no fees, because the deed restrictions are recorded, the Community Standards department investigates complaints, unresolved violations go to a hearing with fines and liens on the table, and the bond plus maintenance assessment sit on the tax bill whether or not you use a single pool; buyers under 55, since this is an age-restricted community and the exceptions are narrow; anyone who assumes a Villages address means the Sumter County center of things, because the Lake County end is the north edge around Lady Lake and the south-east edge past Fruitland Park, and the drive to Brownwood or Lake Sumter Landing is a golf cart trip from some of it and a car trip from the rest; anyone shopping the whole community, who should know that this site can only show them the Lake County listings.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $400,000 budget and put The Villages side by side with its neighbors: what $400,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Where Is The Villages, and What Makes It Different?

The Lake County part of The Villages is two separate pieces. The north piece is Orange Blossom Gardens and the streets around Spanish Springs, carrying a Lady Lake address on US-441 and US-27. The south-east piece is the Fruitland Park build-out and, past it, the Villages of West Lake toward Leesburg. Both connect to the Sumter County core by golf cart path and by road, and the mean commute of 20.9 minutes is among the shortest on this list, and Lady Lake next door is shorter still, for the obvious reason that most residents are not commuting anywhere. The trade a buyer makes here is a set of recorded deed restrictions and district assessments in exchange for the amenities, and it is worth reading the district documents before deciding which side of that trade you are on.

The Villages Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 220 homes sold in The Villages at a median of $294,500, down 8.7% against the twelve months before. Per square foot, which strips out any change in the size of what sold, the figure fell 4.9%. In August 2026, 19 homes closed at a median of $245,000 and the typical one went under contract in 60 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. There are 61 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $352,829, or $239 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around The Villages? We publish that answer for Lake County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Lake County a buyer's or seller's market?

Best Neighborhoods in The Villages, FL: Communities to Know

The Lake County part of The Villages is three different vintages, and the vintage decides the price more than anything else does.

  • Orange Blossom Gardens, the original 1980s and early 1990s section carrying a Lady Lake address, with manufactured homes, villas and small site-built homes; over the last twelve months 131 of them closed, between $90,000 and $885,000, and three quarters of them under $300,000
  • The Villages of Fruitland Park, including Pine Ridge and the Enclave at Dabney, the 2013 to 2020 build-out on the Lake County side, where 36 closings ran from the high $200,000s to $2.6 million and seven of them cleared $1 million; the Enclave at Dabney is the premier-home pocket
  • The Villages of West Lake and Lake Denham, the 2021 and newer construction at the south-east edge toward Leesburg, 53 closings from about $230,000 to $1.55 million at a median of $389,000, and where most of the newer-home resale activity now is

A search for The Villages will mix all three of these with the far larger Sumter and Marion inventory, so filter by county first if the Lake County side is what you want, and by year built second.

Communities in The Villages with their own page:

The Villages vs. Leesburg vs. Lady Lake: The Honest Comparison

 The VillagesLeesburgLady Lake
Median asking price$352,829$289,900$358,400
Median $/sq ft$239$169$205
Mean commute20.9 minutes24.8 minutes17.5 minutes
Median household income$76,523$47,506$47,260
Population82,10828,46116,337

Leesburg is the nearest general-market town to the West Lake side and shares the age-restricted shape, with half its listings 55-plus and the cheapest price per square foot in this series. Lady Lake is the town the original Villages section sits inside, and it is the answer for someone who wants to live next to The Villages without the deed restrictions or the age limit. The Villages is the most expensive of the three per square foot and the only one where the recreation is included in the address.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Lake County Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 20.9 minutes, against 24.8 from Leesburg.

How Much of The Villages Is New Construction?

The Villages has no municipal police agency reporting usable figures to the FBI, so there is no honest city-level crime comparison to publish here, and a number that cannot be sourced is worse than none. What can be measured is the age and type of what is for sale, which is the other question relocation buyers ask.

Across 61 active residential listings, the median asking price is $352,829, or $239 per square foot. Where a town is still building, the per square foot figure runs closer to replacement cost; where it is built out, it reflects land and location instead.

Cost of Living in The Villages, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. The Villages' median asking price is $352,829 against a median household income of $76,523, which puts a home at about 4.61 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is The Villages, FL a good place to live?

Start with the numbers. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $352,829 is lower than most and the mean commute of 20.9 minutes is shorter than most. The median household income here is $76,523, which puts housing at 4.61 times income, a lighter load than in most of those places. On local incomes, that makes buying here easier than in most of the group. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in The Villages, FL?

The median sale price was $245,000 in August 2026 across 19 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 220 homes sold at a median of $294,500, down 8.7% against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 61 active listings is $352,829, or $239 per square foot.

Is The Villages cheaper than Leesburg?

On the asking median, no: $352,829 against $289,900. Measured against household income, The Villages is at 4.61 times income and Leesburg at 6.10, so on that basis The Villages is the more affordable of the two. See what $400,000 buys in each town.

What is the cost of living in The Villages, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $352,829 against a median household income of $76,523 puts a home at roughly 4.61 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves The Villages, FL?

Lake County Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to The Villages?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $400,000 buys across The Villages and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in The Villages, which updates with current inventory.

Sept. 18, 2026

4,728 Central Florida homes have sat 90+ days. Here is where they are and how far they have come down

By Brenden Rendo, Realtor · Updated September 18, 2026

"Homes are sitting" is the most repeated line in Central Florida real estate right now, and on its own it tells a buyer or seller almost nothing. Sitting where? At what price? And has the seller actually moved? I pulled every active listing in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties that had been on the market 90 days or more as of September 15, 2026, and broke the pile apart by county, price band, and property type. The answer is not one market. The middle of the price range is behaving very differently from the two ends.

4,728
Active Listings at 90+ Days
Orange, Seminole, Lake, Volusia. About 35% of all active listings. Stellar MLS, September 15, 2026
77.75%
Already Below Original Asking Price
3,676 of the 4,728 stale listings have reduced their asking price at least once
6.61%
Median Asking-Price Cut, Reduced Listings Only
Counting all 4,728 including the ones that never cut, the median is 4.86%
68.27%
Share Reduced in the $1,000,000+ Band
Lowest of any price band. The $500,000 to $750,000 band is highest at 82.28%
TLDR:
  • 4,728 active listings across Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia had been on the market 90+ days as of September 15, 2026, up from 4,495 on August 2.
  • 77.75% of them have cut their asking price. Among those that cut, the median reduction is 6.61%. Across all stale listings, cut or not, it is 4.86%.
  • The $300,000 to $750,000 bands carry the shallowest median cuts, 5.33% to 5.69% among reduced listings. The deepest sit under $300,000 (8.51%) and above $1,000,000 (7.74%).
  • Luxury sellers are the holdouts: only 68.27% of $1,000,000+ stale listings have cut, and in Lake County just 58.56% have.
  • These are asking-price reductions on homes that have not sold. They are not sale prices and they are not discounts anyone has closed on.

1. Where the 4,728 Stale Listings Sit, County by County

Orange County holds the largest pile by raw count, which is expected in the largest county. Raw count is the wrong lens, though. What matters is the stale share of each county's total active inventory, and on that measure Volusia and Lake lead.

County 90+ day listings Share of all actives Share reduced Median cut (reduced only) Median days on market Past 1 year
Orange1,93134.00%76.44%6.45%168250
Seminole49429.58%82.39%6.69%15444
Lake1,16037.32%75.86%6.61%165122
Volusia1,14338.20%79.88%6.98%175148
4-county total4,72835.15%77.75%6.61%168564

Source: Stellar MLS active listings with 90+ days on market, pulled September 15, 2026. Share of all actives uses total active counts from a Stellar pull on September 17, 2026, so treat that column as approximate.

Seminole is the tightest market and the most motivated seller base. It has the smallest stale share, the fastest median days on market at 154, and the highest share of stale sellers who have already cut, at 82.39%. When a Seminole home does sit, the owner tends to react.

Volusia is the slowest. It has the highest stale share, the longest median days on market at 175, and the deepest median cut among reduced listings at 6.98%.

The pile is growing, and fastest in the two smaller inland counties. Between August 2 and September 15 the 4-county count rose from 4,495 to 4,728, up 5.18%. Seminole grew 9.78% (450 to 494) and Lake 9.12% (1,063 to 1,160), while Orange grew 3.93% and Volusia just 1.69%.

For a regional cross-check, the Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford metro data published through FRED at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shows a median of 75 days on market in August 2026, against 77 in August 2025. That metro definition includes Osceola County and excludes Volusia, so it is not our 4-county footprint, but it tells the same story: slower than the spring, not collapsing.

2. Two Medians, and Why You Need Both

Most "average price cut" numbers you see quietly count only the listings that cut. That is a real number, but it overstates what a typical stale seller has conceded, because 1,052 of these 4,728 listings have not reduced at all. Of those, 173 are actually asking more than their original list price today.

  • Median cut among reduced listings only: 6.61%. This answers "when a stale seller cuts, how far do they go?"
  • Median cut across all stale listings, counting non-reducers as zero: 4.86%. This answers "how far below original is the typical stale listing?"

The spread among reduced listings is wide. The middle half of reductions runs from about 3.70% to 10.81%, 1,087 listings are down 10% or more, and 223 are down 20% or more. So the median is a starting point for a conversation, not a prediction about any single house.

Quick Tip: Days on market can restart when a listing is withdrawn and relisted, depending on how long it was off the market. Before you read a 95-day listing as "barely stale," ask for the full listing history. Some of these homes have been available far longer than the number on the screen.

3. Price Bands: The Middle Holds, the Ends Bend

Here is the pattern that the county totals hide. Across all four counties, the share of sellers who have cut is fairly flat from $300,000 to $1,000,000. What changes is how deep they cut.

Current asking price 90+ day listings Share reduced Median cut (reduced only) Median cut (all listings) Median days on market
Under $300,0001,47277.51%8.51%6.45%177
$300,000 to $399,99988978.52%5.33%4.25%163
$400,000 to $499,99970677.90%5.69%4.36%157
$500,000 to $749,99979082.28%5.47%4.30%158.5
$750,000 to $999,99932981.16%7.03%5.44%164
$1,000,000 and up54268.27%7.74%4.64%176

Source: Stellar MLS, 4-county active listings at 90+ days, September 15, 2026. Bands use current asking price.

$300,000 to $750,000 is where stale sellers cut the least. Median reductions among reduced listings land between 5.33% and 5.69%, and these bands also move fastest, at 157 to 163 median days. This is the entry-level and move-up single-family range where most financed buyers shop, so a home that is close to right tends to find a buyer before the owner has to go deep.

Under $300,000 bends the most, but read the mix before you read the number. This band is the largest at 1,472 listings, carries an 8.51% median cut among reduced listings, and has 240 listings past one year. It is also mostly not single-family. Condos make up 789 of the 1,472, and in Orange County it is 481 of 592. Lake is the exception, where only 20 of 333 sub-$300,000 stale listings are condos and the band is mostly manufactured homes and older single-family.

$750,000 to $1,000,000 cuts deeper than the middle. 81.16% have reduced, at a 7.03% median. In Volusia this band shows 89.23% reduced, the highest of any county and band combination with a meaningful count (65 listings).

4. The $1,000,000+ Holdouts

The top of the market splits into two camps. Almost a third of stale $1,000,000+ sellers, 172 of 542, have not reduced at all. The ones who have cut went deep, at a 7.74% median.

Lake County is the extreme. Only 58.56% of its 111 stale $1,000,000+ listings have reduced, and counting all of them the median cut is just 2.08%, the lowest of any county and band. Median days on market there is 189. Volusia's luxury tier sits at the other end: 75.70% reduced, a 9.09% median among those that cut, and 203 median days on market, the slowest band in the entire dataset.

The message is not that luxury is soft everywhere. The message is that a $1,000,000+ seller who has sat six months without moving the price is making a choice, and the ones who did move are signaling that the original number was never the market.

★ Pro Move: On a high-end listing that has never reduced, the seller's carrying costs are your quiet argument. Taxes, insurance, and upkeep on a $1,500,000 Florida home run into real money every month it sits. I pull the tax bill and the listing history before we write, so the offer is anchored to numbers the seller already knows are true.

5. Condos Are a Separate Pile

Condos behave differently enough that they should never be averaged in with houses. Across the four counties:

  • Condos (including condo-hotel units): 1,106 stale listings, 73.06% reduced, 8.17% median cut among reduced listings, 191.5 median days on market, and 219 past one year.
  • Single-family homes: 3,003 stale listings, 79.09% reduced, 6.10% median cut among reduced listings, 160 median days on market, and 285 past one year.

Here is why. Condo buyers are underwriting the association as much as the unit: reserves, special assessments, insurance, and whether the building meets lender requirements. A price cut does not fix a building a lender will not finance, which is why condos sit longer and cut deeper, and still a smaller share of condo sellers have cut at all. If you are shopping condos, the price is only half the diligence.

For the metro-wide picture, the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association's August 2026 market narrative reports a $301,071 median closed price for condos and townhouses against $436,456 for single-family homes, with 4.9 months of supply overall, up from 4.4 in July. ORRA's territory includes Osceola County and is not the same footprint as the numbers in this post.

6. The Full Grid: County by Price Band

Each cell shows the number of 90+ day listings, the share reduced, and the median cut among reduced listings. Small cells, under about 50 listings, can swing on a handful of homes, so weigh them lightly.

Asking price Orange Seminole Lake Volusia
Under $300,000592 · 74.5% · 8.33%195 · 82.1% · 9.35%333 · 77.8% · 8.22%352 · 79.8% · 9.00%
$300,000 to $399,999259 · 78.8% · 5.13%82 · 87.8% · 6.19%278 · 77.0% · 5.62%270 · 77.0% · 5.01%
$400,000 to $499,999254 · 78.7% · 5.71%71 · 74.6% · 5.50%199 · 76.9% · 5.75%182 · 79.1% · 5.51%
$500,000 to $749,999365 · 82.2% · 5.02%71 · 85.9% · 5.59%187 · 79.1% · 5.58%167 · 84.4% · 6.78%
$750,000 to $999,999177 · 78.0% · 7.09%35 · 85.7% · 6.04%52 · 78.8% · 7.75%65 · 89.2% · 7.21%
$1,000,000 and up284 · 68.0% · 7.46%40 · 77.5% · 7.72%111 · 58.6% · 7.41%107 · 75.7% · 9.09%

Source: Stellar MLS, active listings at 90+ days on market, pulled September 15, 2026. Format: listings · share reduced · median cut among reduced listings. Includes all residential property types.

Two patterns stand out. Seminole's $300,000 to $399,999 band has 87.8% of stale sellers already reduced, the most motivated mid-priced seller group in the four counties. And the shallowest median cuts among larger cells belong to Volusia's $300,000 to $399,999 band at 5.01% and Orange's $500,000 to $749,999 band at 5.02%, even though 82.2% of those Orange sellers have reduced. Those sellers are moving in small steps.

You can browse the current stale inventory directly on our county pages: Orange County 90+ day homes, Seminole County 90+ day homes, Lake County 90+ day homes, and Volusia County 90+ day homes.

7. What Buyers, Sellers, and Investors Should Do With This

Buyers. Your leverage is real but uneven. In the $300,000 to $750,000 range, stale sellers have mostly moved already and the typical reduction is modest, so a well-supported offer somewhat below asking is a reasonable conversation, not a lowball. Under $300,000 and above $1,000,000 there is more room on paper, but check what you are buying: association health on condos, and whether a luxury seller has moved at all. Get pre-approved first, because a seller who has waited 170 days wants certainty more than a slightly higher number. Browse weekly reductions for Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia.

Sellers. If you are about to list, this data is a pricing argument. Nearly four out of five sellers still on the market at 90 days have already reduced, and every one of them gave up the first weeks, when a new listing gets the most attention. Pricing close to the market on day one costs less than chasing it on day 120. If you are already past 90 days, one reduction to where recent closed sales support is often cleaner than several small steps. Start with a home value estimate and then let us put real comps against it.

Investors. The sub-$300,000 pile and the 564 listings past one year are where motivated sellers concentrate. Run your numbers on ARV and carrying costs, not on the asking price. A long-stale listing is sometimes stale for a reason you only find in the inspection.

For the broader monthly picture across all four counties, see our Central Florida housing market hub, and for how rates are shaping buyer budgets this fall, read what the rate climb since February actually costs. If you want the zip-level view of where reductions cluster, see our price-cut zip code breakdown.

8. Frequently Asked Questions

How many homes have been on the market 90+ days in Central Florida?

As of September 15, 2026, Stellar MLS showed 4,728 active listings on the market 90 days or more across Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties: 1,931 in Orange, 494 in Seminole, 1,160 in Lake, and 1,143 in Volusia. That is roughly 35% of all active listings in the four counties.

What share of stale listings have cut their price?

77.75% of the 4,728 listings, or 3,676 homes, are asking less than their original list price. By county the share runs from 75.86% in Lake to 82.39% in Seminole.

How much have stale listings reduced their asking price?

Among listings that have reduced, the median cut from original asking price is 6.61%. Counting every stale listing, including those that never reduced, the median is 4.86%. These are reductions in asking price on homes that have not sold, not sale prices.

Which price range has the deepest price cuts?

Under $300,000 has the deepest median cut among reduced listings at 8.51%, followed by $1,000,000 and up at 7.74%. The $300,000 to $749,999 bands carry the shallowest median cuts, between 5.33% and 5.69%.

Does a listing past 90 days mean something is wrong with the house?

Usually it means the original price was ahead of the market, which is why most of these sellers have already reduced. It can also point to a condition or association issue, so a long-stale home still deserves a full inspection and, for condos, a close look at the association's finances.

Want the listing history on a home that has been sitting?

I will pull the full price and relisting history, the recent closed comps, and the seller's likely carrying costs before you write an offer. Call or text Brenden at 407-616-9019.

Contact The Homes In Orlando Team

Sept. 16, 2026

Rate Sheets Move Up Fast and Down Slow. Freddie Mac Hit 6.95% While Treasury Yields Eased

By Brenden Rendo, Realtor · Updated September 16, 2026

If your feed looked like a bond trading desk this week, you are not imagining it. On Monday, September 14, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.97%. It reached 5.00% the next day and closed at 5.01% on Wednesday, September 16, its highest close since at least 2023. Mortgage rates went with it. Freddie Mac's weekly 30-year average jumped to 6.95% the week of September 17, up from 6.76% the week before, and Mortgage News Daily's daily index reached 7.24% on September 16. Buyers, loan officers, and market commentators spent the week asking the same two questions: why do mortgage rates chase the bond market, and why hasn't the gap between the two gotten any smaller? Here is what the conversation got right, what it got wrong, and what it means for buyers and sellers in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties.

5.01%
10-Year Treasury Yield
Daily close, September 16, 2026. Eased to 4.94% on September 17. Highest of 2026, up more than a full point from the 3.97% low on February 27. U.S. Treasury.
6.95%
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate
Freddie Mac PMMS, week of September 17, 2026, up 19 basis points in a week. Highest weekly average since June 2025.
~2.0 pts
Mortgage Rate Minus 10-Year Yield
Every week of 2026 has landed between about 1.8 and 2.1 points. My calculation from Freddie Mac and Treasury data.
1,222
Price Cuts in 7 Days, 4 Counties
Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia, seven days to September 13, 2026. Stellar MLS.
TLDR:
  • The 10-year Treasury yield rose from a 3.97% low on February 27 to 5.01% on September 16, 2026, more than a full percentage point. The 30-year mortgage rate followed from 5.98% to 6.95% on Freddie Mac's weekly survey.
  • The gap between the two has held near 2 percentage points all year, even with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buying back their own mortgage bonds to narrow it.
  • With the spread stuck, the 10-year yield is the whole story. A 10-year at 5% plus a 2-point spread puts the 30-year fixed near 7%, and Mortgage News Daily's daily index was already at 7.24% on September 16.
  • The Fed raised short-term rates a quarter point on September 16. It sets short-term rates, not mortgage rates, and long-term yields did not fall: the 10-year closed at 5.01% that day.
  • Locally, sellers are absorbing part of the pressure: 1,222 price cuts in seven days and 53.9% of active listings below their original price across the four counties, per Stellar MLS.

1. What People Are Saying About Rates This Week

I ran this week's research across Reddit, X, YouTube, TikTok, Instagram, and Hacker News for the 30 days ending September 15. It returned 122 posts and videos on mortgage rates and the bond market, including 21 TikToks with more than 854,000 combined views and 10 YouTube videos with more than 1.5 million. One honest caveat up front: almost all of it was national. The rate conversation does not have a local accent, because a buyer in Sanford and a buyer in Seattle borrow in the same bond market.

The dominant thread was explanation. Loan officers and financial accounts spent the week walking people through the link between Treasury yields and mortgage payments. On TikTok, @that.loan.couple put it plainly on September 14:

"Mortgage rates tend to follow the 10-Year Treasury."
@that.loan.couple, TikTok, September 14, 2026

On X, @TradingMarvel went straight to housing:

"The housing market is where higher yields can really sting."
@TradingMarvel, X, September 14, 2026

The second thread was alarm. A Wealthion interview posted September 14 ran under the headline "The Bond Market Is in Revolt" and drew more than 24,000 views, and Bloomberg's TikTok on the 10-year crossing 5% passed 53,000. Under a CNBC reel on mortgage rates crossing 7% on Mortgage News Daily's index, the most direct reaction came from @korreyb: "Ain’t no way." A lot of buyers feel exactly that.

The third thread was the one worth your attention, because it cuts against intuition. On TikTok, @therussellmac posted on September 14 that a Fed rate hike could, in theory, be followed by lower mortgage rates:

"If a Fed hike convinces investors that inflation is finally being taken seriously, Treasury yields could fall."
@therussellmac, TikTok, September 14, 2026

That is a possibility, not a forecast, and section 5 covers what happened when the Fed did hike on September 16. But the underlying point is correct, and it is the single most useful thing a buyer can understand about rates right now: the Fed does not set your mortgage rate. The bond market does.

2. Why Your Mortgage Rate Follows the 10-Year Treasury

A 30-year mortgage almost never lasts 30 years. Most get paid off in roughly a decade, when the owner sells or refinances. So the investors who buy mortgage-backed bonds compare them to the closest safe alternative with a similar lifespan, which is the 10-year Treasury. When the 10-year yield rises, mortgage bonds have to pay more to compete, and lenders pass that through to your rate.

You can see it in this year's numbers. Using the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey and the U.S. Treasury daily par yield curve rates, here is how the two moved together at the key points of 2026:

Freddie Mac Survey Week 30-Year Fixed 10-Year Treasury, Prior 7-Day Average Spread
January 8, 20266.16%4.17%1.99 pts
February 26, 2026 (rate low)5.98%4.06%1.92 pts
April 2, 2026 (spring peak)6.46%4.37%2.09 pts
May 21, 20266.51%4.58%1.93 pts
July 30, 20266.66%4.67%1.99 pts
September 3, 20266.71%4.75%1.96 pts
September 10, 20266.76%4.80%1.96 pts
September 17, 2026 (latest)6.95%4.98%1.97 pts

The spread column is my calculation: the Freddie Mac weekly rate minus the average of the Treasury's daily 10-year closes over the seven days before each survey. Two things stand out. The mortgage rate climbed 0.78 points from February to September, and the 10-year average climbed 0.74 points over the same weeks, so nearly all of the move came from Treasuries. And the 10-year kept going after the latest survey was taken, closing at 4.95% on September 10, 4.97% on September 14, 5.00% on September 15, and 5.01% on September 16, which was not yet reflected in Freddie Mac's 6.76%. It is now. The September 17 survey came in at 6.95%, a 19 basis point jump in one week and the largest weekly move in this table.

Watch what happened next, because it cuts against the intuition that mortgage rates follow Treasuries down as readily as up. The 10-year peaked at 5.01% on September 16 and then eased to 4.94% on September 17. The Freddie Mac survey published that same morning still printed 6.95%. The mortgage rate rose 19 basis points on the week while the 10-year ended below its midweek peak. Lenders price a week of risk, not a day of relief: when yields spike they reprice immediately, and when yields slip they wait to see whether it holds. For a buyer that asymmetry is the whole game. A one-day dip in the 10-year is not a reason to wait for a better rate sheet, because the rate sheet does not move until the dip survives a week.

That lag matters. Freddie Mac publishes a weekly average on Thursdays. Mortgage News Daily tracks lender rate sheets every day, and on Wednesday, September 16, it reported the average top-tier 30-year fixed at 7.24%, which it described as the highest since January 2025. The two surveys measure different things and will not match, but when the daily index runs well ahead of the weekly one, the weekly number usually has some catching up to do.

Quick Tip: The rate on a headline is an average, not a quote. Your rate depends on your credit, down payment, loan type, points, and the day you lock. Ask for a written Loan Estimate on the same day from two or three lenders so you are comparing the same bond market.

3. The 2-Point Spread That Will Not Narrow

If mortgage rates track the 10-year, the other way to get lower rates is a smaller spread. This year that was the plan. Wolf Street's Wolf Richter reported on September 3 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced on January 8, 2026 that they would substantially accelerate buybacks of their own mortgage-backed securities, with the stated goal of narrowing the spread and pulling mortgage rates down.

The spread did not move. It was about 2 points at the start of January and about 2 points in September. The table above shows every key week landing between 1.92 and 2.09 points, and across all 36 weekly readings this year my calculation ranges from about 1.84 to 2.09. Richter's explanation is that several forces are pulling in opposite directions at once:

  • The Federal Reserve is still shrinking its mortgage bond holdings. Per his reporting, the Fed has shed about $827 billion of the mortgage bonds it bought during QE, about $17 billion in the latest four weeks. Less Fed demand for mortgage bonds pushes the spread wider.
  • Fannie and Freddie buybacks push the other way. They add demand for mortgage bonds, which narrows the spread.
  • The buybacks may be raising Treasury yields. Richter notes that Fannie and Freddie fund the buybacks partly by shedding Treasuries they would otherwise hold, which adds Treasury supply. A narrower spread built on a higher 10-year yield does nothing for a borrower.

His read is that the buybacks may be the thing keeping the spread near 2 points instead of letting it drift wider, which would mean they are working as a floor rather than as a rate cut. That is an argument, not a proven fact, and nobody can see the counterfactual. For planning purposes the practical takeaway is simpler: assume the spread stays near 2 points, and watch the 10-year yield as your mortgage rate's leading indicator. In 2023, for context, the spread ran near 3 points for stretches. Two points is not bad by recent standards. It is just not getting better.

4. What Pushed Yields Up in September

Three things came together in the first half of September, based on Wolf Street's coverage of the week, which I read in full.

Inflation worries, fed by oil. Two of the rate updates in this week's research, a CNBC reel and a loan update on TikTok, pointed at oil prices as the trigger. @rickvegamortgage wrote on September 14 that "The 10-year Treasury briefly moved above 5%, mainly because rising oil prices are creating new inflation concerns." (The Treasury's official close that day was 4.97%, so the move above 5% was intraday.) Bond investors demand higher yields when they expect inflation to eat into what they are paid back.

A heavy supply of new government debt. Richter reported on September 10 that the federal deficit is projected at 6% of GDP in 2026 and that the government needs to sell roughly $1 trillion in new debt every three to five months to fund it. More supply of bonds means buyers can demand higher yields. At that day's 30-year Treasury auction, it took a 5.308% yield to sell $22 billion of bonds, which he reported as the highest auction yield since August 2001.

A Treasury buyback that disappointed the market. On September 9 the Treasury Department announced it would buy back up to $6 billion in face value of older 20-year and 30-year bonds at the next day's buyback operation. Buybacks are meant to support bond prices and hold yields down. Per Richter, traders had hoped for something much larger, and yields rose on the announcement instead, with the 10-year trading at 4.85% that day per his report.

By the Treasury's own daily numbers, the 10-year closed at 4.77% on September 3, 4.83% on September 9, 4.95% on September 10, 4.97% on September 14, 5.00% on September 15, and 5.01% on September 16. The 30-year Treasury closed at 5.37% on September 10. Whatever you think of the policy debate behind any of this, and there is a lot of politics mixed into the commentary, the arithmetic for a home buyer is the same: higher long-term yields, same spread, higher mortgage rates.

5. The Fed Hiked on September 16. Here Is What It Does and Does Not Control

The Federal Open Market Committee met September 15 and 16, 2026, with a new set of economic projections, per the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting calendar. On September 16 the committee voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds target range by a quarter point, to 3.75% to 4.00%, per the Federal Reserve policy statement. I am not going to predict the next move, and you should be skeptical of anyone online who says they know what the bond market will do in response.

Here is what is safe to say:

  • The Fed sets the overnight rate banks charge each other. That rate moves credit cards, HELOCs, and adjustable-rate loans more directly than it moves a 30-year fixed.
  • The 30-year fixed follows the 10-year Treasury, which trades on what investors expect for inflation, growth, and government borrowing over the next decade.
  • That is why the two can move in opposite directions. If the market reads a Fed decision as tough on inflation, long-term yields can fall even after a hike. If it reads the Fed as tolerating inflation, long-term yields can rise even after a cut. @therussellmac's point from section 1 is correct as a mechanism. On decision day it did not play out that way: the 10-year closed at 5.01% on September 16, and Mortgage News Daily's index rose to 7.24%.
★ Pro Move: If you are under contract and have not locked, do not gamble on the next bond market move. Ask your lender today what a lock with a float-down option costs. Paying a small fee to capture a drop if one comes is cheaper than guessing wrong on a move that can happen within minutes of a Fed statement or an inflation report.

6. What It Means in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia

I already ran what the rate climb since February costs on Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia medians in a separate post, so I will not repeat those tables here. This section is about the next leg: what happens if the 10-year stays near 5%.

Holding the spread at a round 2 points, here is where the 30-year fixed would land at three 10-year yield levels, and what that does to principal and interest on a $350,000 loan. This is an illustration of the math, not a forecast of where yields are going.

If the 10-Year Treasury Is 30-Year Fixed at a 2-Point Spread Principal and Interest, $350,000 Loan Versus Today's 6.95% ($2,317)
4.50%6.50%$2,212-$105/mo
5.00%7.00%$2,329+$12/mo
5.50%7.50%$2,447+$130/mo

Each half-point on the 10-year is worth roughly $115 to $120 a month on that loan, before taxes, insurance, and HOA dues. The point is not that rates will hit any of these levels. The point is that the swing between a calm bond market and a rough one is a real monthly number, and it is outside anyone's control.

What is inside a buyer's control locally is price, and our four counties are giving buyers more room than the rate headlines suggest. From our Stellar MLS snapshot for the seven days ending September 13, 2026:

County Active Listings Median Asking Price Price Cuts, Last 7 Days Share Below Original Price Share 60+ Days on Market
Orange5,695$429,90051952.1%41.6%
Seminole1,678$395,00016255.4%37.7%
Lake3,113$389,90028353.5%43.9%
Volusia3,002$370,00025857.0%45.3%
Four counties13,488n/a1,22253.9%42.5%

These are asking prices on homes that have not sold, not sale prices, so read them as where a negotiation starts. But more than half of the active inventory in every county is already priced below where it started, and 890 new listings came on in the same seven days that 1,222 listings cut. Sellers are carrying part of the rate pressure. Builders are carrying some too, through builder rate buydowns and incentives, which are worth a hard look while the bond market is doing this. Just read the loan terms, not only the advertised rate.

7. What Buyers, Sellers, and Investors Should Do Now

Buyers: stop trying to time the Fed, and start watching the 10-year yield if you want to know where your rate is heading. Get pre-approved at today's rate, not February's, and build your budget with a cushion for a rate a quarter to a half point higher than your quote. Then use the local numbers above. With 53.9% of listings below original price, a well-documented offer on a home that has sat is the most reliable way to take back some of what the bond market took. Browse current reductions in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties.

Sellers: your buyer's payment went up this month whether your price moved or not. The rate move since February is already priced into what buyers can afford, and the homes that are selling are the ones priced for today's payment, not last spring's. If you are about to list or you are sitting on a listing, get a current read from my home value estimator and price against the active competition in your county, not against a neighbor's sale from earlier in the year.

Investors: underwrite at 7% or higher on anything financed, even if your quote is lower today, because a 2-point spread over a 5% Treasury is where the math points if yields hold. The bond market is also offering you a benchmark: a risk-free 10-year near 5% is the return your rental has to clear after vacancy, insurance, taxes, and repairs. Deals that only work at a February rate are not deals right now.

For the weekly county-by-county numbers behind this post, my Central Florida market hub tracks inventory, price cuts, and days on market.

8. Frequently Asked Questions

Why do mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury yield instead of the Fed's rate?

Most 30-year mortgages are paid off in roughly a decade as homes are sold or refinanced, so the investors who buy mortgage bonds price them against the 10-year Treasury, not against the Fed's overnight rate. When the 10-year yield rises, mortgage rates feel upward pressure. The Fed influences long-term yields indirectly through inflation expectations, which is why a Fed decision and mortgage rates can move in different directions.

What is the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate right now?

About 2 percentage points. The Freddie Mac 30-year fixed averaged 6.95% the week of September 17, 2026, while the 10-year Treasury averaged about 4.98% over the prior week, a spread of roughly 1.96 points by my calculation. Every weekly reading in 2026 has landed between about 1.8 and 2.1 points, even with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buying back their own mortgage bonds.

Will mortgage rates go above 7% in Central Florida?

Nobody can promise where rates go next. What the math shows is that if the spread holds near 2 points and the 10-year Treasury stays at or above 5%, the 30-year fixed would sit near 7%. Mortgage News Daily's daily index already reached 7.24% on September 16, 2026, its highest since January 2025, and Freddie Mac's weekly average caught up to 6.95% the week of September 17. Florida buyers borrow in the same national bond market, so the local rate follows the national one.

Should I wait for the Fed to change course before buying a home in Orlando?

The Fed raised short-term rates a quarter point on September 16, 2026, but it does not set your 30-year mortgage rate, and the bond market can react to its next move in either direction. If you are already under contract, ask your lender about lock and float-down options now rather than waiting. If you are still shopping, the bigger lever in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties right now is price: 1,222 listings cut their price in the seven days to September 13, 2026, per Stellar MLS.

Orange County

519 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median asking price $429,900. 52.1% of active listings below original price.

Browse Price Reductions

Seminole County

162 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median asking price $395,000. 55.4% of active listings below original price.

Browse Price Reductions

Lake County

283 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median asking price $389,900. 53.5% of active listings below original price.

Browse Price Reductions

Volusia County

258 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median asking price $370,000. 57.0% of active listings below original price.

Browse Price Reductions

Worried about locking before the bond market moves again? Send me the home or the price range you are looking at, and I will show you what a quarter-point move does to that payment and which listings in your county have already cut enough to cover it.

Send me what you are looking at or call 407-616-9019.

Sept. 11, 2026

Rates Are Up 0.78 Points Since February. Here's What Central Florida Buyers Lost, and What Sellers Are Giving Back

By Brenden Rendo, Realtor · Updated September 11, 2026

If you started shopping in February and you are still shopping now, you have felt this even if you never saw the number. Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed bottomed at 5.98% the week of February 26, 2026, and the week of September 10 it was 6.76%. That is a 0.78 percentage point climb, and it did not happen in a straight line. Below is what it costs on Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia county medians, what sellers of stale listings are giving back right now, and the net number that matters: what waiting has really cost you, today.

5.98% → 6.76%
30-Year Fixed, Feb Low to Sept
Freddie Mac PMMS, week of 2/26/2026 vs week of 9/10/2026. A 0.78-point climb.
+$197/mo
Extra Payment, Orange County Median
$429,900 median, 10% down, principal and interest only. My calculation.
4.5% to 5.6%
Typical Discount, 90+ Day Listings
Median asking price below original list, all 4,657 stale listings, by county. Stellar MLS, 9/8/2026.
~$60 to $85/mo
Net Cost After a Typical Discount
What is left of the rate climb at 10% down on the county median. About $25 to $35 on a listing that has already cut. My calculation.
TLDR:
  • Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed rose from a 5.98% low the week of February 26 to 6.76% the week of September 10, 2026, a 0.78-point climb and the highest weekly reading since that February low.
  • On the four county medians, that costs an extra $170 to $197 a month with 10% down, or $151 to $175 a month with 20% down, roughly $54,000 to $71,000 over a full 30-year term if the rate never changes.
  • To get February's payment back at today's rate, a buyer needs a price about 7.9% lower than the current county median, for example $396,100 instead of $429,900 in Orange County.
  • The 4,657 listings that have sat 90-plus days are asking a median of 4.5% to 5.6% below original list, depending on the county. Among the ones that have already cut, the median cut is 6.5% to 6.7%. Neither reaches 7.9%.
  • Net it out at 10% down and a typical stale-listing discount leaves a buyer about $60 to $85 a month above February's payment. A listing that has already cut its price narrows that to about $25 to $35.

1. The Rate Climb, Week by Week

The 30-year fixed did not march upward smoothly. It bottomed in late February, jumped hard through late March and early April, drifted higher through May and June, spent six weeks from late July into early September stuck between 6.65% and 6.71%, and then broke higher to 6.76% the week of September 10. The full weekly path from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey:

Week Of 30-Year Fixed 15-Year Fixed
2/26/20265.98% (low)5.44%
3/5/20266.00%5.43%
3/12/20266.11%5.50%
3/19/20266.22%5.54%
3/26/20266.38%5.75%
4/2/20266.46%5.77%
4/9/20266.37%5.74%
4/16/20266.30%5.65%
4/23/20266.23%5.58%
4/30/20266.30%5.64%
5/7/20266.37%5.72%
5/14/20266.36%5.71%
5/21/20266.51%5.85%
5/28/20266.53%5.87%
6/4/20266.48%5.79%
6/11/20266.52%5.84%
6/18/20266.47%5.81%
6/25/20266.49%5.84%
7/2/20266.43%5.79%
7/9/20266.49%5.82%
7/16/20266.55%5.93%
7/23/20266.58%5.96%
7/30/20266.66%6.04%
8/6/20266.69%6.01%
8/13/20266.67%5.96%
8/20/20266.65%5.95%
8/27/20266.66%5.98%
9/3/20266.71%6.04%
9/10/20266.76% (latest)6.09%

Two things jump out. First, the damage was front-loaded: 0.48 of the 0.78-point climb, more than 60% of it, happened in the five weeks between late February and early April. Second, the six quiet weeks from late July through early September did not turn into a pullback. The rate broke higher instead. A buyer who has been waiting for a clear move lower has not gotten one, and the pattern since spring argues for planning around today's rate rather than betting on a return to February's.

Quick Tip: Rate direction is unpredictable week to week. What is predictable is that lenders reprice loans daily, so lock timing matters as much as the headline weekly average. Ask your lender about a float-down option if you are locking while a Fed decision or a major inflation report is pending.

2. What the Climb Costs on Local Medians

Here is the payment math, principal and interest only, on the current Stellar MLS county medians as of September 10, 2026: Orange $429,900, Seminole $390,000, Lake $389,900, and Volusia $370,000. Each row compares the payment at February's 5.98% low to today's 6.76%.

County (Median Price) Down Payment @ 5.98% Payment @ 6.76% Extra / Month Extra / 30 Years
Orange ($429,900)10%$2,315$2,512+$197+$71,033
20%$2,058$2,233+$175+$63,141
Seminole ($390,000)10%$2,100$2,279+$179+$64,441
20%$1,867$2,026+$159+$57,281
Lake ($389,900)10%$2,099$2,278+$179+$64,424
20%$1,866$2,025+$159+$57,266
Volusia ($370,000)10%$1,992$2,162+$170+$61,136
20%$1,771$1,922+$151+$54,343

The pattern holds across all four counties: roughly $170 to $197 more per month with 10% down, $151 to $175 more with 20% down, and a 30-year cost of the rate move alone that runs from about $54,000 in Volusia to $71,000 in Orange County, assuming the buyer never refinances. That last assumption matters. Most buyers would refinance if rates fell meaningfully, but it is the honest number if they do not.

3. The Price You'd Need Today to Match February's Payment

Flip the question around. Instead of asking what the same price costs more today, ask what price today produces February's payment. Because the ratio of payment factors between two fixed rates does not depend on the loan size, the answer is the same percentage at any down payment: a buyer needs a price about 7.9% below the current county median to recreate February's monthly payment.

County Current Median Price for Feb's Payment @ 6.76% Discount Needed
Orange$429,900$396,100$33,800 (7.9%)
Seminole$390,000$359,400$30,600 (7.9%)
Lake$389,900$359,300$30,600 (7.9%)
Volusia$370,000$340,900$29,100 (7.9%)

That 7.9% is the yardstick for the next two sections. The closer sellers are to conceding that much off original list, the closer buyers get to February's payment through negotiation instead of through the Fed.

4. What Sellers Are Giving Back Right Now

Start with the broader region for context. Per the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association Housing Market Narrative, the most recent published data as of September 10 is for July 2026. ORRA's reporting territory includes Osceola County, so treat these as regional context, not our four-county figures: the median price was $410,494 in July against $375,000 in February, days on market fell from roughly 83 to 64, and months of supply fell from 6.34 to 4.4. Even as rates climbed through the spring, the regional market tightened rather than loosened, most likely the usual spring and summer sales season rather than a rate effect.

Our own four-county numbers (Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia, no Osceola) show the more recent stretch turning in buyers' favor. Comparing our July 22 and September 10, 2026 Stellar MLS snapshots: combined active inventory eased slightly from 13,456 to 13,354, and the median price softened in every county, Orange from $445,000 to $429,900, Seminole from $399,900 to $390,000, Lake from $393,900 to $389,900, and Volusia from $375,000 to $370,000. Median days on market rose in all four counties, and so did the share of listings sitting 60-plus days without a contract.

The clearest measure of negotiating room is the 90-plus day pool. As of the September 8, 2026 Stellar MLS pull, 4,657 active listings across the four counties have sat 90 days or more. Two numbers describe them, and both matter:

County Listings 90+ Days Share Already Cut Median Below Original, All Stale Listings Median Cut, Listings That Have Cut
Orange1,89275%4.49%6.45%
Seminole48485%5.56%6.67%
Lake1,14776%4.69%6.54%
Volusia1,13481%5.08%6.68%

The fourth column is the typical stale listing, counting the ones that have not cut at all. The fifth is the typical cut among the listings that have. Both are asking prices on homes that have not sold, so read them as where negotiation starts, not where it ends. And neither reaches the 7.9% from Section 3: even a listing that has already cut is, on average, still a little short of giving a buyer February's payment back.

5. Net It Out: Rate Cost Minus the Discount

Put the rate cost from Section 2 against the discounts from Section 4, financed at today's 6.76% rate, and here is what is left over each month, county by county:

County Down Rate Cost / Month Net After Typical Stale-Listing Discount Net After an Already-Cut Listing's Discount
Orange10%$197$85$35
20%$175$75$31
Seminole10%$179$52$27
20%$159$46$24
Lake10%$179$72$30
20%$159$64$27
Volusia10%$170$60$25
20%$151$53$23

So the typical stale-listing discount wins back roughly 57% to 71% of the rate damage, and a listing that has already cut wins back roughly 82% to 85%. At 10% down that leaves a buyer about $60 to $85 a month above February's payment in the first case and about $25 to $35 in the second. Over 30 years without a refinance, that is roughly $21,000 to $31,000 versus $9,000 to $13,000. Seminole stands out: 85% of its stale listings have already cut, which is why it has the smallest gap in the first column.

6. What Buyers, Sellers, and Investors Should Do With This

Buyers: stop shopping the rate alone and start shopping listings that have already sat 90-plus days, especially the ones that have already cut. Those are the homes where the discount covers most of the climb since February. Ask your lender to run the exact payment on any home you are considering at today's quoted rate, not a rate you remember from the spring, and bring the county-level numbers above into your offer conversation. Browse current price-reduced inventory in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties.

Sellers: if your home has been sitting, look at the table in Section 4. Most listings in your position have already cut, and the typical cut is about 6.5% off original list. Holding out for a February-era price in a 6.76% rate market is the most common reason a listing goes stale in the first place. One well-sized reduction now usually beats a slow series of small ones later. Get a current number from my home value estimator before your next price decision.

Investors: the 7.9% from Section 3 is your breakeven against February conditions. No county's median stale-listing cut reaches it today, even among listings that have already cut. Volusia (6.68%) and Seminole (6.67%) come closest, and Orange (6.45%) is furthest away. So the deals that beat February on payment are individual listings cutting deeper than the median, not a county-wide condition. Underwrite each one on its own numbers.

For the broader county-by-county picture behind these numbers, my Central Florida market hub tracks inventory, cuts, and days on market weekly.

7. Frequently Asked Questions

How much more does a mortgage payment cost in Central Florida after the rate climb since February 2026?

Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed averaged 5.98% the week of February 26, 2026, and 6.76% the week of September 10, 2026, a 0.78 percentage point rise. On the $429,900 Orange County median with 10% down, principal and interest went from about $2,315 to about $2,512 a month, roughly $197 more, or about $71,000 over a 30-year term if the rate never moves again. Seminole, Lake, and Volusia see a $170 to $179 monthly increase on their medians.

What price would I need to pay today to get the same payment I could have gotten in February?

About 7.9% less than today's county median, at any down payment, because the math is a straight ratio of payment factors between 5.98% and 6.76%. On the Orange County median of $429,900 that is roughly $396,100, about $33,800 lower. On Volusia's $370,000 median it is roughly $340,900, about $29,100 lower. That is the size of the price concession that would fully offset the rate move.

Do price cuts actually offset higher mortgage rates in Central Florida?

Partly. Across the 4,657 listings in Orange, Seminole, Lake, and Volusia counties that have sat 90 days or more (Stellar MLS, September 8, 2026), the median asking price is 4.5% to 5.6% below the original list price, depending on the county. That wins back roughly 57% to 71% of the monthly cost of the rate climb. Among the three quarters or more of those listings that have already cut, the median cut is 6.5% to 6.7%, which wins back roughly 82% to 85%. These are asking-price reductions on homes that have not sold yet, not closed-sale discounts.

Is now a worse time to buy in Central Florida than February 2026?

On rate alone, yes, payments are higher. But the four-county market has also softened: median prices in all four counties eased between late July and early September 2026, days on market rose in all four, and 52% to 57% of active listings are now priced below their original list, per Stellar MLS. At 10% down, a buyer who lands the typical stale-listing discount is left about $60 to $85 a month above February's payment on the county median, and about $25 to $35 a month above it on a listing that has already cut. Waiting for both rates and prices to improve at the same time is not the pattern the data shows.

Orange County

528 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median $429,900.

Browse Price Reductions

Seminole County

163 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median $390,000.

Browse Price Reductions

Lake County

282 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median $389,900.

Browse Price Reductions

Volusia County

294 price cuts in the last 7 days. Median $370,000.

Browse Price Reductions

Want the exact net number for a specific listing? Send me the address and I will run the rate-versus-discount math against its original list price, so you know what you are negotiating for and what it is worth on the monthly payment, not just the sticker.

Send me the address or call 407-616-9019.

Sept. 11, 2026

Living in Oakland, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

Oakland is 3,566 people, and in the last twelve months it sold a $4,383,239 house and a $350,000 house. That is not a market with a middle. The median sale price here is $650,658, and almost nothing in town is worth that, because Oakland is two separate housing markets that happen to share a zip code and a name.

$605,000
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 7 closed sales
3,566
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, up 18.3% since 2019
31
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
27.6 min
Mean Commute
Against 30.9 minutes from Windermere

Who Oakland Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: buyers in the $2 million and up range who specifically want a large new home on a large lot in west Orange County, which is a genuinely short list of places and Oakland is on it; buyers in the $500,000s and $600,000s who want the older part of a small town with the trail and the lake nearby, and who understand they are buying into a place where their neighbors two streets over paid four times as much; anyone who wants Winter Garden's location without Winter Garden's density.

Weaker fit: anyone who needs choice, because 31 active listings in the whole town is the thinnest inventory in this series and there may be nothing for sale that fits you in a given month; buyers who want a walkable downtown with things in it, which is Winter Garden's job and not Oakland's; anyone expecting the price trend to carry them, since prices per square foot here have been flat over the last year; buyers who need a predictable resale market, because a town this small produces too few comparable sales to price a home confidently.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $650,000 budget and put Oakland side by side with its neighbors: what $650,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Where Is Oakland, and What Makes It Different?

Oakland sits in west Orange County, adjoining Winter Garden, with the West Orange Trail running through it. It is a small town of about 3,566 residents, and it has grown 18.3 percent since 2019, which is fast in percentage terms and small in absolute ones. The mean commute is 27.6 minutes, shorter than Winter Garden, Ocoee and Apopka despite Oakland sitting further west than any of them. What that adds up to is a town that functions as a quiet address attached to Winter Garden's amenities rather than as a self-contained place.

Oakland Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 88 homes sold in Oakland at a median of $650,658, up 4.5% against the twelve months before. The homes that sold were 16% larger than the year before, so the more useful figure is price per square foot, which rose 0.7%. In August 2026, 7 homes closed at a median of $605,000 and the typical one went under contract in 52 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. That twelve-month median rests on 88 sales, a small sample for a percentage, so read it as directional rather than precise. There are 31 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $796,000, or $284 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around Oakland? We publish that answer for Orange County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Orange County a buyer's or seller's market?

New Construction and Resale Are Not the Same Market in Oakland

Every price figure quoted for Oakland mixes brand new homes with existing ones. Split apart, the last twelve months looked like this.

What soldMedian, prior 12 monthsMedian, last 12 monthsChangeSales
New construction$1,017,951$2,300,000+125.9%19
Existing homes (resale)$588,000$604,000+2.7%69
All sales combined$622,500$650,658+4.5%88

Read the new-construction row carefully. Part of that move is a change in what was built rather than in what it costs. The median new-construction home sold in Oakland went from 3,046 square feet to 3,909, 28.3% larger, while the price per square foot moved +56.9%. The price per square foot is the cleaner comparison, and on that measure this is a real price move rather than a trick of the mix.

Those two rows moved the same way, but they are not describing comparable homes. New construction here sells for about 3.8 times what an existing home does, so the combined figure sits in a gap between two markets and summarises neither.

The gap here is not subtle. A new home in Oakland costs more than twice as much per square foot as an existing one, $549 against $266. The new construction is concentrated in a handful of large-lot communities on the newer side of town, where closings over the past year ran from roughly $1.65 million to $4.38 million. The existing housing is the older town, and it sells in the $500,000s and $600,000s. If someone quotes you an Oakland median, ask which of the two they mean, because the number in the middle describes neither.

Best Neighborhoods in Oakland, FL: Communities to Know

Oakland divides by vintage rather than by geography, and the two halves barely overlap on price.

  • The historic town, the older core and the streets around it, where most of the resale inventory sits and where homes trade in the $500,000s and $600,000s
  • Briley Farm and the Harvest District, the large-lot new construction, where closings over the last twelve months ran from about $1.65 million to $4.38 million
  • Oakland Park, a mixed pocket with both established homes and newer building, which is where the two markets come closest to meeting
  • The trail corridor, the properties near the West Orange Trail, which is the amenity people actually move here for

Deciding which of those you are shopping is the decision that matters in Oakland, because it changes your price by a factor of three or four.

Oakland vs. Windermere vs. Winter Garden: The Honest Comparison

 OaklandWindermereWinter Garden
Median asking price$796,000$1,100,000$589,000
Median $/sq ft$284$348$260
Mean commute27.6 minutes30.9 minutes28.5 minutes
Median household income$142,917$156,042$106,371
Population3,5663,03447,182

Windermere is the closer comparison on paper. It is almost exactly the same size, its households earn slightly more, and it asks more per home. The difference is that Windermere is expensive fairly uniformly, while Oakland is cheap and expensive at the same time, so an Oakland median tells you much less than a Windermere one. Winter Garden is the practical alternative for most people reading this: it adjoins Oakland, asks about $589,000 against Oakland's $796,000, and has 662 active listings against 31. If you want this location and you want something to actually choose from, look at Winter Garden first. If you want the specific thing Oakland has, either the old town or the new estates, there is no substitute for it nearby.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Orange County Public Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 27.6 minutes, against 30.9 from Windermere.

Is Oakland, FL Safe?

Oakland has no municipal police agency reporting usable figures to the FBI, so there is no city-level crime rate to publish here, and inventing one would be worse than saying so. The nearest available figure belongs to the Orange County Sheriff's Office, whose reported violent crime rate is 522.2 per 100,000 residents against 323.5 for Florida as a whole. That is a county-wide figure covering unincorporated areas rather than Oakland itself, so read it as context for the wider area and not as a measurement of this town.

Figures are reported offenses from the FBI Crime Data Explorer for the Orange County Sheriff's Office (ORI FL0480000), 2022, the most recent year that agency reported in a usable form. Reporting years differ between agencies, so this is compared to the Florida rate for the same year and is not comparable to another town's page.

Cost of Living in Oakland, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. Oakland's median asking price is $796,000 against a median household income of $142,917, which puts a home at about 5.57 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Oakland, FL a good place to live?

Start with the numbers. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $796,000 is higher than most and the mean commute of 27.6 minutes is near the middle. The median household income here is $142,917, which puts housing at 5.57 times income, close to the middle of those places. On local incomes, buying here is about as hard as it is across the group. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in Oakland, FL?

The median sale price was $605,000 in August 2026 across 7 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 88 homes sold at a median of $650,658, up 4.5% against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 31 active listings is $796,000, or $284 per square foot.

Is Oakland cheaper than Windermere?

On the asking median, yes: $796,000 against $1,100,000. Measured against household income, Oakland is at 5.57 times income and Windermere at 7.05, so on that basis Oakland is the more affordable of the two. See what $650,000 buys in each town.

Is Oakland, FL safe?

There is no city-level crime rate for Oakland, because no municipal police agency here reports usable figures to the FBI. The nearest measure is the Orange County Sheriff's Office, which is county-wide rather than specific to this town.

What is the cost of living in Oakland, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $796,000 against a median household income of $142,917 puts a home at roughly 5.57 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves Oakland, FL?

Orange County Public Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to Oakland?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $650,000 buys across Oakland and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in Oakland, which updates with current inventory.

Sept. 10, 2026

Living in Oviedo, FL: Who It Fits, and Who Should Look Elsewhere

The second result on Google for this question is a discussion thread titled 'I don't get Oviedo', and that is the honest place to start. Oviedo asks about $489,945. Winter Springs, next door, asks $392,450. Lake Mary, ten minutes up the road, asks $482,499 with a higher median household income and a shorter drive to work. From the outside there is no visible reason for the difference, because what Oviedo sells is not the kind of thing that photographs.

$560,000
Median Sale Price
August 2026, 79 closed sales
39,990
Population
U.S. Census ACS 2023, down 0.9% since 2019
182
Active Listings
Active residential listings in the city, October 9, 2026
26.9 min
Mean Commute
Against 30.4 minutes from Winter Springs

Who Oviedo Fits, and Who It Doesn't

Strong fit: families who have looked at the Seminole County school assignments and want these specific ones, which is the single most common reason people pay the premium here; buyers who value a low crime rate enough to pay for it; households earning near the local median of $114,092, for whom the price-to-income ratio here is lighter than the asking price would suggest; anyone who wants a short commute without Winter Park pricing.

Weaker fit: buyers who do not need these particular school zones, because Lake Mary is in the same county, asks about the same price, has a higher median household income and a shorter commute, and you should look there first; anyone who wants a walkable downtown, which Oviedo does not have in the way Winter Park or Mount Dora do; buyers who need choice, since 182 active listings is roughly two months of supply; anyone hoping to negotiate hard, for the same reason.

Still deciding between towns? We pulled the closed sales around a $550,000 budget and put Oviedo side by side with its neighbors: what $550,000 actually buys in each. Square footage, bedrooms, year built, and how many came with a pool.

Where Is Oviedo, and What Makes It Different?

Oviedo sits on the eastern side of Seminole County, close enough to the university and the research corridor to draw from both without being part of either. The mean commute is 26.9 minutes, which is shorter than Winter Springs next door despite Oviedo being further out, because the road network runs the right way for where these residents work. The population is about 39,990 and it has edged down slightly rather than grown, which is unusual in this metro and consistent with a built-out town where people arrive for the schools and then stay. Almost nothing lists, and what does list moves quickly.

Oviedo Housing Market Snapshot (2026)

Over the last twelve months 791 homes sold in Oviedo at a median of $500,000, down 4.8% against the twelve months before. Per square foot, which strips out any change in the size of what sold, the figure fell 2.4%. In August 2026, 79 homes closed at a median of $560,000 and the typical one went under contract in 28 days. One month is too small a sample to read a direction from, which is why the twelve-month figure leads here. There are 182 active residential listings as of October 9, 2026, with a median asking price of $489,945, or $246 per square foot.

Wondering whether it is a buyer's or seller's market around Oviedo? We publish that answer for Seminole County as a whole, from current MLS data: Is Seminole County a buyer's or seller's market?

New Construction and Resale Are Not the Same Market in Oviedo

Every price figure quoted for Oviedo mixes brand new homes with existing ones. Split apart, the last twelve months looked like this.

What soldMedian, prior 12 monthsMedian, last 12 monthsChangeSales
New construction$832,745$497,445-40.3%64
Existing homes (resale)$515,000$500,000-2.9%727
All sales combined$525,000$500,000-4.8%791

Read the new-construction row carefully. It is mostly reporting a change in what was built rather than a change in what it costs. The median new-construction home sold in Oviedo went from 3,332 square feet to 2,025, 39.2% smaller, while the price per square foot moved -1.9%. Builders here changed the product, so the price per square foot is the honest comparison and the median is not.

The resale row is the one to trust here, and it is 92% of everything that sold in Oviedo. Existing homes moved -2.9%, which is what a typical owner in Oviedo should read as their market.

What that product change tells you about the town is more useful than the price figure it produced. Builders here have moved from large detached houses to smaller attached homes, which is what building tends to look like when the easy land is gone. Combine that with 182 active listings in a town of about 40,000 people and you have the explanation for most of the pricing on this page.

Best Neighborhoods in Oviedo, FL: Communities to Know

Oviedo divides cleanly by zip code, and the two halves are different products at different prices.

  • 32765, the established side, where most of the town is, the older and more central communities, and where the bulk of resale inventory sits
  • 32766, the eastern side, newer and lower density out toward Chuluota, including the larger-lot communities
  • The high-end pockets, a handful of communities where new construction closed between roughly $825,000 and $1,030,000 over the last year, well above the town median
  • The new attached communities, the smaller newer product that closed in the $400,000s and low $500,000s, which is most of what builders are delivering now

Which half you shop changes the age of the housing stock and the lot size more than it changes the price per square foot, which is fairly consistent across the town at about $253.

The 15 communities in Oviedo where the most homes have sold over the last twelve months, each with its own page:

Another 128 Oviedo communities have their own page too. You can also browse every Oviedo listing in one place.

Oviedo vs. Winter Springs vs. Lake Mary: The Honest Comparison

 OviedoWinter SpringsLake Mary
Median asking price$489,945$392,450$482,499
Median $/sq ft$246$237$242
Mean commute26.9 minutes30.4 minutes24.6 minutes
Median household income$114,092$86,332$116,944
Population39,99038,44816,724

This is the comparison that answers the objection. Winter Springs is about $97,000 cheaper and adds roughly three and a half minutes each way, which is the straightforward trade. Lake Mary is the harder one for Oviedo: it asks about $7,000 less, its median household income is slightly higher, and its commute is about two minutes shorter. If you are buying Oviedo, it should be because you want these school assignments and this crime rate specifically. If you do not, Lake Mary is the better value and you should see it before you decide.

Schools, Commute, and Day-to-Day Life

Seminole County Public Schools serves the city, and assignment varies by address rather than by city name, so confirm the zoning for the specific property before you buy on a school reputation.

Mean travel time to work is 26.9 minutes, against 30.4 from Winter Springs.

Is Oviedo, FL Safe?

Oviedo's reported violent crime rate is 119.4 per 100,000 residents against 280.8 for Florida as a whole, about 57% below the state figure. That is a real difference and it is one of the things buyers here are paying for. The same caveat applies in reverse though: rates are measured against resident population, so a town that few people commute into will tend to look better than a comparable one that they do.

Figures are reported offenses from the FBI Crime Data Explorer for the Oviedo Police Department (ORI FL0590400), 2023, the most recent year that agency reported in a usable form. Reporting years differ between agencies, so this is compared to the Florida rate for the same year and is not comparable to another town's page.

Cost of Living in Oviedo, FL

Housing is the line that moves a Central Florida budget. Oviedo's median asking price is $489,945 against a median household income of $114,092, which puts a home at about 4.29 times household income here. That ratio, rather than the sticker price, is the number worth carrying between towns, and it is why a cheaper town is not automatically a more affordable one.

Florida charges no state income tax, so the property tax line matters more here than it would elsewhere, and a homestead exemption reduces the taxable value of a primary residence. Millage varies by taxing district, so treat any single quoted rate as an estimate until the specific parcel is checked.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Oviedo, FL a good place to live?

Start with the numbers. Against the 60 places this site tracks across Orange, Seminole, Lake and Volusia counties, the median asking price of $489,945 is higher than most and the mean commute of 26.9 minutes is shorter than most. The median household income here is $114,092, which puts housing at 4.29 times income, a lighter load than in most of those places. On local incomes, that makes buying here easier than in most of the group. Who it fits, and who it does not, is laid out at the top of this page.

What is the median home price in Oviedo, FL?

The median sale price was $560,000 in August 2026 across 79 closed sales. Over the last twelve months 791 homes sold at a median of $500,000, down 4.8% against the twelve months before. The median asking price across 182 active listings is $489,945, or $246 per square foot.

Is Oviedo cheaper than Winter Springs?

On the asking median, no: $489,945 against $392,450. Measured against household income, Oviedo is at 4.29 times income and Winter Springs at 4.55, so on that basis Oviedo is the more affordable of the two. See what $550,000 buys in each town.

Is Oviedo, FL safe?

The reported violent crime rate runs about 57% below the Florida average, though city rates are measured against resident population while the offense count includes everyone passing through.

What is the cost of living in Oviedo, FL?

Housing is the deciding line. A median asking price of $489,945 against a median household income of $114,092 puts a home at roughly 4.29 times income, and Florida charges no state income tax, which shifts weight onto the property tax line.

What school district serves Oviedo, FL?

Seminole County Public Schools. Assignment varies by address within the city, so confirm the zoning for the specific property.

Thinking About a Move to Oviedo?

I work these four counties every week and I will tell you when a town is wrong for you. If you want the numbers for your budget before you tour anything, start with what $550,000 buys across Oviedo and its neighbors, or call me at 407-616-9019.

You can also browse homes for sale in Oviedo, which updates with current inventory.